Today, the World Business Council for Sustainable 发展 (WBCSD) released the 能源气候情景目录第二版.0.
The Catalogue enables businesses to conduct strategic climate resilience assessments 和 explore transition pathways. It outlines the dependencies 和 uncertainties across various possible temperature 和 energy system outcomes.
The original version of the Catalogue was developed in 2022, responding to recommendations from the Task Force on 气候-Related Financial Disclosure (TCFD). 自推出以来, many companies leveraged the Catalogue in their TCFD disclosures for climate scenario analysis 和 scenario comparisons, e.g., BP 和 三菱.
The updated 能源 气候 Scenario Catalogue v2.0 contains 17 scenarios from six leading scenario providers, 有跨投资的变量, 需求, 排放, 能力, 成本, 和价格. The Catalogue allows for the navigation, comparison, 和 exploration of scenarios over time.
在版本2中.0, scenarios were updated to reflect the latest scenario publications. Additional business-relevant variables were included, including regional disaggregation of car sales 和 disaggregation of commodity 需求 by end-use sector. The Catalogue will continue to be updated to incorporate future scenario developments.
除了目录外,还有 气候 Scenario Analysis Reference Approach report expresses the 能源 Forum’s rationale, 原则, 过程, 和 reflections regarding scenario analysis efforts. It explores the business use of climate scenario analysis 和 outlines 原则 for making choices using the Catalogue, 用例的例子. The report also outlines allocating various public climate scenarios to three scenario reference families (aligned with 1.5°C、2°C和现行政策/BAU).
WBCSD召集了巴斯夫, 必和必拓, BP, 中电控股, CRH, 法国电力公司, 埃奈尔, Engie, Equinor, 全球最大, Iberdrola, 和 Skanska – the 能源 Forum – to develop business-relevant approaches to climate scenario analysis. This work was conducted in response to recommendations from the Task Force on 气候-related Financial Disclosure (TCFD), as well as guidance from International Sustainability St和ards Board (ISSB), European Sustainability Reporting St和ards (ESRS), 和你.S. 证券 & 交易委员会.
生动经济,麦肯锡的一部分 & 公司, updated the 能源 气候 Scenario Catalogue 和 provided core methodological 和 technical leadership.
This work continues to support companies in following TCFD, ISSB, ESRS 和 SEC recommendations to assess their strategic resilience by considering different climate-related scenarios. The resources updated today align with WBCSD’s strategic priorities in climate action 和 supporting member companies in engaging capital markets on ESG performance.
The 气候 Scenario Analysis Reference Approach report is available 在这里.